ERF:EURONEXT PARISEurofins Scientific SE Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time
€62.46
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Eurofins Scientific (ERF) trades at €62.46, hovering just below its 20‑day SMA of €60.57 but still under the 50‑day SMA (€62.51) and well beneath the 200‑day SMA (€63.37), indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term downtrend. Technical indicators are mixed: the RSI sits at a neutral 53.5, the MACD histogram is positive (0.39) with a bullish signal, yet the overall trend direction is flagged as bearish. Volatility remains elevated at 37.8% over the past 30 days, while a low beta of 0.38 suggests limited sensitivity to broader market moves. Fundamentally, the stock’s P/E of 24.5 is modestly below the industry average of 27.5, and the forward P/E of 13.4 points to improving earnings expectations. The dividend yield of 1.17% with a modest 23.5% payout ratio appears sustainable given free cash flow of €0.49 bn. Recent corporate actions, notably a share‑buyback programme targeting up to 4.5% of capital, provide a potential catalyst and align with analyst consensus (14 analysts rating a “buy”).
The DCF‑derived fair value of €23.9 suggests the market is pricing significant growth premium, yet analyst target prices around €70.6 imply an upside of roughly 13%, supporting a fair‑to‑undervalued view. Revenue growth of 4.3% and stable operating margins (13.3% operating, 6.5% net) underline a steady, if not high‑growth, business model. With a solid balance sheet, modest debt‑to‑equity of 96.8% (leveraged by cash reserves) and a dividend that can be comfortably covered, the company presents a resilient profile for patient investors.
The DCF‑derived fair value of €23.9 suggests the market is pricing significant growth premium, yet analyst target prices around €70.6 imply an upside of roughly 13%, supporting a fair‑to‑undervalued view. Revenue growth of 4.3% and stable operating margins (13.3% operating, 6.5% net) underline a steady, if not high‑growth, business model. With a solid balance sheet, modest debt‑to‑equity of 96.8% (leveraged by cash reserves) and a dividend that can be comfortably covered, the company presents a resilient profile for patient investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish longer‑term trend despite bullish MACD
- Price near key support at €57.08
- Elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Share‑buyback programme up to 4.5% of capital
- Valuation gap to analyst target price (~13% upside)
- Sustainable dividend and solid cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Low beta and defensive healthcare exposure
- Reasonable valuation relative to peers
- Consistent dividend and strong free cash flow generation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.30%
Profit Margin6.51%
P/E Ratio24.5
ROE9.50%
ROA5.51%
Debt/Equity96.84
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow€1.4B
Free Cash Flow€492.5M
Industry P/E27.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI53.5
Support€57.08
Resistance€63.38
MA 20€60.57
MA 50€62.51
MA 200€63.37
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.18
Valuation
Fair Value€23.88
Target Price€70.89
Upside/Downside13.49%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.17%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.38
Volatility37.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.